Results tagged ‘ fiascos ’

Monday Can of Corn: The Acceleration Effect (Updated)

**I’ve added a link to a column by Boz in tomorrow’s WaPo about the resignation below**

After a relatively quiet few days without a whole lot going on in Nationals camp save for some encouraging signs from the rotation on the field, Frowny-gate raised its head once again. After what, two weeks of speculating and reading about the whole mess down in the Dominican Republic and its implications for an ongoing FBI investigation, the hammer finally came down. Jim Bowden resigned this morning (Sunday), citing a desire not to be a distraction to the Nationals while maintaining his innocence. Not successor has been named, but I would imagine Assistant GM Mike Rizzo will at the very least be named interim GM until the FO decides where they go from here.

I titled this post The Acceleration Effect because that’s precisely the phenomenon that has typified Frowny-gate. From the moment it was discovered that Frowny was in fact not who he said he was, the wheels starting turning all around baseball and the media putting pieces together. Irregardless of whether one thinks that’s right or wrong, it is the process whereby embarrassments evolve into scandals and career-ending discoveries with increasing momentum until they can no longer be contained or satisfactorily denied. To date, nothing concrete has been shown linking Bowden with the illegal kickbacks that are at the heart of the FBI’s investigation. However, Bowden has too many links to other, dirty baseball executives for them all to be coincidence. Besides, coincidences are merely the mind’s way of trying to explain connections that appear random, but are in fact linked quite solidly.

So, in just a few weeks we’ve gone from the embarrassment of the Nationals’ system in the D.R. and the general anger felt in the FO for spending twice as much as necessary to sign a prospect that was not who he said he was, to the GM resigning amid rumors that he was involved in illegal kickbacks to Dominican recruits and their street bosses, allegations which are being investigated by the FBI. That’s a huge leap in severity, but the two are of course probably linked (the executives were either too incompetent or too crooked to find out Frowny’s real identity, which lead to a huge signing and probably a nice kickback for Frowny’s street boss manager.)

At any rate, we’ll see whether Bowden is truly linked in the federal investigation, and saying that the ownership pushed him out or that Stan pushed him out is just speculation. However, my gut feeling, based on nothing concrete, is that Stand and the Lerners are already thinking three or four moves ahead and see the writing on the wall. Even if Bowden was cleared of any wrongdoing tomorrow by the feds, his credibility as a responsible GM has been undermined too much now. Whether they can trust him or not, is impossible to tell from the outside. But certainly, they sat down with him yesterday and went through the scenarios, including the ones that ended in his firing and his resignation.

My hope now is that the Nats can move forward, whether with Mike Rizzo or somebody else, and keep making progress towards building a playoff-caliber team in seasons to come. My gut also tells me that this process would have taken longer with Bowden as GM, but again, that’s just my opinion.

Click here to read Thomas Boswell’s Reaction to Bowden’s Resignation

Click here to read the WaPo’s story of Bowden’s resignation.

Click here to read SI.com’s article on the resignation.

Click to read Bowden’s statement

Click here to read Stan Kasten’s statement.

Busy Day

Today marked the Nats’ second ST game, this one at home at Space Coast (Spacecoast? That doesn’t seem right) Stadium. I tried to listen to it via the Internet on WFED’s site, but apparently you need to spend $15 to get MLB Gameday audio for that and I can just read the box score for free, thankyouverymuch.

Anyway, the Nats played a solid game against the Tigers and WON! What’s better, they did it with good pitching from young guns Colin Balester, Jordan Zimmerman and Terrell Young.

Check out the Recap from Yahoo! Sports. Thank goodness Yahoo taps into the power of the internet to give me these recaps! Some key points in my mind:

1. Balester, Zimmerman and Young combined for 6 IP, 0 H, 0 ER and 5 SO. Not bad!

2. Pete Orr was en fuego today, accounting for 50% of the team’s hits and 100% of its runs. Somebody came ready to earn a roster spot.

Aside from that, a quick update on the Frowny Gonzalez fallout. Jose Rijo, special assistant to the GM and head of the Nats’ Dominican operations, was fired today. Jose Baez, who ran the facility down there was also fired and the ENTIRE facility was shuttered in a few days thanks to assistant GM Mike Rizzo going down there and taking names. The Nats will move to a new facility that will probably not be 100% ramped up until 2010, but that’s the price you pay, I suppose. What I find most amazing is that pretty much all the staff was fired down there, but the Nats’ new facility will be operational tomorrow…don’t know how that works. 14 players will be released as well, although it’s unclear if that’s due to reduced capacity at the new facility or some other reason.

Check out the latest posts from Nationals Journal for more color on the Nats front office detonating a neutron bomb in their Dominican operation. Talk about lighting a fire. The worst thing you can do as an employee is require your boss to get involved in your day-to-day work, and that’s just what Bowden and Rijo have done. Stan is on this like flies on you know what. And now there are rumors that the Lerners are quietly looking at GM candidates to replace Bowden…however Boz has a column out today that I happen to agree with. Check it out here, as it’s a good quick read.

Tomorrow is a game against the Cardinals at their stadium in Jupiter, FL.

On a side note, Space Coast stadium is about 45 minutes away from where my grandparents live in Orlando, so I am now determined to take a long weekend next season to hit up 3 or 4 ST games since I can stay with my grandparents (don’t know if Annie will want to come along, but she’ll probably be willing to trade 4 days of nonstop baseball for 4 days of Florida sunshine after another dreary Baltimore winter!). Anyway, those long-term plans are in the works!

One Step Forward and Two Steps Back

That’s how I’ve felt as a Nationals fan since the team came to DC back in 2004. It seems that the team makes some progress but then something comes along and sets them backwards. This whole Smiley Gonzalez fiasco is the latest setback. And it comes right in the middle of two important signings that wrapped up the off-season just in time for ST’s first games next week. 

Boz’s latest column is a nice roundup of the mess. He reaches much the same conclusion that I did in that on paper it appears that Jim Bowden is the primary owner of this screw-up and that in some organizations that would be enough to merit a forced resignation or outright firing. Nats fans can be divided into three camps: those who think Bowden is doing on OK or good job, those who think he’s a horrible GM and should be fired, and those who think both depending on the day. I consider myself a member of the third camp, as it’s hard to deny that Bowden has made some good deals for the team in the past. However, these constant screw ups and the obvious mismatch of personalities between Bowden and Kasten makes it tough to see why they keep him. 
That being said, I’m not sure if the Lerners fire Bowden over this. Like Boz, I think the first two months of the season might be the true test for whether Bowden keeps his job or goes back to “Cold Pizza”, if that show is still even on the air. 

Frowny Gonzalez

Unfortunately, I didn’t think of that name, that credit goes to Barry Svrluga of Nationals Journal. As you may or may not know, a top prospect for the Nationals apparently lied about his name and age, understating his age by 3 or 4 years. Most of the details are still hazy, but it’s clear the Nationals were lied to, although it’s not clear how many people in the FO knew about this, if anyone did. 

Check out these links to read a little more detail about the story. 
SI: Kasten Feels “Defrauded”
This is yet another example of the organized deception going on in Latin American baseball feeder nations to capture some of that cash being showered on ball players throughout the region. Have we forgotten that Miguel Tejada, in addition to being an admitted steroid user, is also rumored to have changed his age to get to the majors faster? He was being interviewed by 60 Minutes and the reporter produces a birth certificate from the D.R. showing Tejada was actually like 2 years older than he says he is. The guy suddenly loses the ability to understand English and walks out of the interview. Nice. So this is not new, by any means, unfortunately. 
In my mind, the real questions are:
1. Who knew what, both inside and outside the Nationals organization? 
2. Specifically, how much did Jim Bowden know and when did he know it?
3. What to do with Smiley now? Do you keep him but push him up to AA or AAA, since that’s where he’s really supposed to be playing? Will that wreck his momentum? Do you release him and eat a good portion of that $1.4M you paid him?
4. Just how good is he? I mean, he was tearing up the Gulf Coast League, but that’s because he was supposed to be playing in Harrisburg or Potomac, right? He was ranked as the 10th best Nats prospect in 2008, but that will surely drop now. Will he be able to handle the better pitching in the higher leagues?
5. How will MLB handle this? This isn’t on par with steroids, but I would bet more than a few Latin players are older than the ballpark programs say they are. Obviously, something needs to be done to control and monitor the talent that is being scouted in Latin America. The current system is pretty much what you’d expect to emerge in a developing country like the Dominican Republic or Venezuela (built more on personal relationships than institutional legitmacy, rife with corruption and an incentive structure built on loyalty and kickbacks) than in a professional sports league. How involved with MLB get now?
6. How does Smiley’s revelation impact the ongoing FBI investigation into the sketchiness that has been MLB’s Latin American scouting effort? What sort of criminal charges could emerge from this?
7. Leaving aside any direct involvement in the whole mess, does Stan Kasten fire Jim Bowden (or does he resign, alternatively)? Does this represent the final straw? 
These are just the questions that come to my mind right now, with about 75% of the facts still unknown. Certainly all of these issues will be worked out over the coming weeks and months as more comes out about this whole fiasco. 

Odalis Perez: Worth More Than $850K? Worth the Trouble?

Short answer: No and No. But let me explain. Nationals Journal had two posts earlier today regarding the brewing international incident with Odalis Perez (international because he’s AWOL in the Dominican Republic). Check out the first post here and the second one here. Basically, Perez is still not at Spring Training because he thinks he should be paid more than the $850K in non-guaranteed minor league money for which the Nats allegedly signed him. I say allegedly because, as the second post reveals, a search of the MLBPA database that contains filed contracts for players reveals no contract between the Nationals and Perez. This is critical for Perez to legally challenge his salary and pursue any changes. 

Perez says that he wants to pitch for the Dominican Republic in the WBC in March to showcase his game to other teams in the hopes of either pulling more money and a major league contract from the Nationals or to find a team that will give him more money and a major league contract. In short, he’s not coming to camp.
Now, it’s difficult for me to believe that the Nationals would be lying about Perez’s contract being approved and sealed and on file with the MLBPA and the lack of a database entry could simply be an oversight by someone at MLBPA and not indicative of a complete lack of a contract. After all, the deal was supposedly inked weeks ago so why has it taken Perez so long to suddenly realize he’s getting underpaid? However, in the absence of any hard evidence either way, I won’t jump to any conclusions about who’s telling the truth and who’s pulling a fast one. 

The two questions on my mind are: is Odalis Perez actually worth more than $850K in non-guaranteed money and a minor league contract; and even if he ends up staying with the Nats, is he worth the hassle? You know my answers, now let me briefly explain. 

First some basic data points. Since his debut with the Braves back in 1999, Perez has earned an average of $3.15M per year with a high of $8.75M in 2006 in his last season with the Dodgers and a low of $200K in his rookie season with the Braves in 1999. Last season he signed as a free agent with the Nationals for $850K in non-guaranteed money that he’d only earn if he made the MLB roster, the exact same deal as this season. During his career, on a per season basis, his ERA has never been below 3.00 (2002) and his ERA was 6.20 in the year he made the most money, 2006. Really, 2002 was Perez’s moneymaking year and it set him up for huge pay raises the next two seasons. 
Last season, he took a roughly 90% pay cut just to play somewhere, and he ended up doing fairly well, relative to his career. Perez pitched in 30 games for the Nationals(including Opening Day), and struck out the most batters in four seasons (119), while sporting an ERA of 4.34, which isn’t half bad for a guy the Nats signed to a minor league contract. His record was 7-12, unfortunately, though. Yet, I would be surprised if anyone called Perez an overpriced signing last season. When you look at what they got for what they paid, the Nationals made a decent return on Perez. This is probably why he’s keen to get more cash this season. 
However, this ignores the changes to the rotation that have occurred in the last year. For one thing, I doubt Perez would find himself as the Opening Day starter again, a role he was given mainly because the rotation was already creaking by the time ST ended last year. This season the Nats at least have some young arms that will hopefully hold up. In other words, the Nationals are hopefully not going to need to rely on Perez this season the way they had to last year. In a pinch, leaning on a guy like Perez is not an option. My guess would be that the Nats didn’t build their 2009-2010 season plan with Perez in mind and signed him with the idea of using him in the back end of the rotation if need be until Jordan Zimmerman or Collin Balester or Shawn Hill was ready and then he’d be back with Syracuse earning that $850K. 
Based on that hypothetical plan, there’s little argument supporting paying Perez much beyond $850K, much less a million plus, in my humble and admittedly uninformed opinion. First of all, the deal is structured to pay him only if he makes the major league team, so the Nats aren’t as sure of Perez’s stuff as Perez himself seems to be, which should tell you something. Even if he makes the team, he’ll have to compete with younger pitchers for that 5th spot in the rotation, rather than the spot for Opening Day pitcher. Are you really going to pay $1M plus on a 5th starter who won just 7 games last season? I wouldn’t, but then again I’m not in the Nats’ FO.
So, is Perez the hassle? He’s sulking in his home because he allegedly signed a deal that he believes grossly undervalues his talents. If that’s the case, why’d he sign the deal in the first place? Why not wait until the WBC like you’re going to do now to shop around? Why go through the pain of arguing with your purported employer about whether your contract is officially signed or not? This is all in addition to the awkwardness that could result if Perez loses his case and the signed contract is paraded out by the MLBPA and Nationals FO for all to see. Then you’ve got a cry baby who signed a bad deal (for him) sulking in Spring Training or the clubhouse. And if he makes the team, then you HAVE wasted $850K because you’re going to have resentment on both sides, eroding team cohesion. The Nationals would have been better off just signing another veteran, in that instance. 
All that being said, I’m waiting for someone with some real evidence to bring it out so we can see who’s telling the truth here. I would be genuinely surprised to learn the Nationals FO had failed to get the approval of the MLBPA for this contract weeks ago, however. But anything’s possible. 
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